India’s Industrial Evolution and Global Value Chains: From Autarky to Aspiration

Policy Brief No. 223

February 9, 2026

Global supply chains are being reconfigured due to COVID-19 disruptions, US-China trade tensions and geopolitical decoupling. India is emerging as a credible alternative to China in global production networks due to its scale, policy reforms, digital infrastructure and demographic dividend. It has progressively moved toward export-led growth and foreign direct investment facilitation. The emphasis is on supply chain resilience, technology partnerships and sustainability. India has strong global value chain presence in services. Manufacturing integration remains weak due to the lack of lead firms, limited component ecosystem and import dependence. However, there is promising growth in electronics, pharma and engineering goods. Industrial growth is at an inflection point. With coordinated reforms and strategic partnerships, India can become a central node in global production. The transition requires systemic policy alignment, institutional coherence and commitment to innovation-driven growth.

About the Authors

S. Yash Kalash is a senior fellow at CIGI and an expert in strategy, public policy, digital technology and financial services. He has a distinguished track record advising governments and the private sector on emerging technologies.

Vaman Desai is a senior director at BowerGroupAsia (BGA) India and works with BGA clients across the Asia-Pacific to help them navigate and understand the public policy and strategic communications landscape in the countries where they operate.

Karishma Maniar Shah is a director at BGA India with more than 15 years of experience in industry and consulting. Karishma is a seasoned strategy and public policy advisor across defence, technology, fintech, data centres and cybersecurity sectors.