The Financial and Regulatory Outlook Summit 2025: Financing for Growth conference examined how current geopolitical instability is affecting the global financial landscape. Held on October 9, 2025, in Rome, Italy, the conference was hosted by the Oliver Wyman Forum and the Centre for International Governance Innovation. The event featured speakers from Oliver Wyman, major global banks and financial institutions from across Europe. Five geopolitical scenarios were discussed in terms of their potential impact on global finance over the next decade:

  • Reform — updating existing institutions: The current international financial model adapts to new influences.
  • Replace — a new architecture emerges: Other models serve as alternatives to Western-led systems.
  • Fragmented — blocs and bounded networks: Trade and financial blocs in North America, Europe and China, and emerging hubs in the Gulf and India reshape the global financial landscape.
  • Disorder — breakdown without a new order: Growing fragmentation among global financial institutions leads to more crises and a greater focus on domestic assets rather than cross-border investment.
  • Disrupt — transformation through rapid technological change and/or climate change impacts: Those who can adapt to new technologies, such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing, will benefit most from emerging trends.

About the Authors

Paul Samson is president of CIGI. He has 30 years of experience across a range of policy issues with partners from around the world. He is a former senior government official and also served for many years as co-chair of the principal G20 working group on the global economy.

Angelo Federico Arcelli is a CIGI senior fellow and a professor of economic policy at Università Cattolica.